Regression for Market Volatility Index
|
| Dependent variable (+/- SE): |
| |
| Market Volatility Index |
|
| Constant | 967.529 (+/- 150.916) |
| p = 0.00001*** |
| Real GDP growth | 8.751 (+/- 2.336) |
| p = 0.002*** |
| Nominal GDP growth | -9.199 (+/- 2.316) |
| p = 0.001*** |
| Real disposable income growth | 0.407 (+/- 0.138) |
| p = 0.007*** |
| CPI Inflation Rate | 9.164 (+/- 1.950) |
| p = 0.0001*** |
| Home Price Index | -0.682 (+/- 0.150) |
| p = 0.0002*** |
| LN_30-year Treasury Yield | -295.300 (+/- 88.913) |
| p = 0.003*** |
| 20-year Treasury Yield | -1,106.721 (+/- 191.991) |
| p = 0.00001*** |
| LN_20-year Treasury Yield | 1,246.863 (+/- 279.358) |
| p = 0.0002*** |
| 1-month Treasury Yield | -13.056 (+/- 3.321) |
| p = 0.001*** |
| LN_7-year Treasury Yield | 552.184 (+/- 163.839) |
| p = 0.003*** |
| 5-year Treasury Yield | 288.824 (+/- 70.822) |
| p = 0.0005*** |
| LN_5-year Treasury Yield | -856.287 (+/- 153.460) |
| p = 0.00002*** |
| LN_3-year Treasury Yield | 262.945 (+/- 43.764) |
| p = 0.00001*** |
| LN_1-year Treasury Yield | -29.835 (+/- 7.333) |
| p = 0.0005*** |
| 7-year Treasury Yield_2 | -53.617 (+/- 13.998) |
| p = 0.001*** |
| 20-year Treasury Yield_2 | 133.951 (+/- 22.674) |
| p = 0.00001*** |
|
| Observations | 40 |
| R2 | 0.831 |
| Adjusted R2 | 0.714 |
| Residual Std. Error | 6.942 (df = 23) |
| F Statistic | 7.088*** (df = 16; 23) |
|
| Note: | *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01 |