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Regression for 30-year Treasury Yield
Dependent variable (+/- SE):
30-year Treasury Yield
Constant0.435 (+/- 0.237)
p = 0.077*
Real GDP growth-0.006 (+/- 0.002)
p = 0.002***
Nominal disposable income growth-0.005 (+/- 0.001)
p = 0.001***
Dow Total Stock Market Index-0.0001 (+/- 0.00001)
p = 0.000***
Home Price Index0.010 (+/- 0.002)
p = 0.00001***
LN_10-year Treasury Yield1.373 (+/- 0.104)
p = 0.000***
LN_5-year Treasury Yield-0.769 (+/- 0.063)
p = 0.000***
1-year Treasury Yield0.604 (+/- 0.164)
p = 0.002***
LN_1-year Treasury Yield-0.178 (+/- 0.056)
p = 0.004***
6-month Treasury Yield_2-0.444 (+/- 0.072)
p = 0.00001***
1-month Treasury Yield_20.290 (+/- 0.039)
p = 0.00000***
10-year Treasury Yield_20.162 (+/- 0.008)
p = 0.000***
Market Volatility Index_2-0.0001 (+/- 0.00001)
p = 0.00000***
Observations40
R20.997
Adjusted R20.996
Residual Std. Error0.039 (df = 27)
F Statistic833.805*** (df = 12; 27)
Note:*p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01